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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 10 April 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 28
  5. 29
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,540 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-04-09All recent draws2024-04-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 21 28 29 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 326 of each

8316times
15329times
21334times
28331times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-10

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£637.3Kto 107k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£134.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£189.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£132.1K
  • 5 other tiers29%£182.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

340times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

11177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,539 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 28, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 June 2016 — its closest relative in 2,539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 April 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4412≈ 350 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,013≈ 888 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,245≈ 9.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,406≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,797≈ 37k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,026≈ 44k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,406 winners, 16% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,026£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,797£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,245£10.00
    Match 313,406£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,013£20.00
    Match 4412£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000