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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 22 March 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 33
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,529 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-03-20All recent draws2024-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 17 19 33 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd99th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 324 of each

7338times
9302times
17306times
19328times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£650.5Kto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£131.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£192.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£135.1K
  • 5 other tiers29%£191.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

317times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

8185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,528 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 January 2024 — its closest relative in 2,528 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4468≈ 358 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,075≈ 908 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,605≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,105≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,489≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,035≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,075 winners, 18% more than the 908 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,035£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,489£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,605£10.00
    Match 313,105£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,075£20.00
    Match 4468£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000