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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 2 February 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 31
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,501 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-01-31All recent draws2024-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 31 33 37 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd99th
  • low31th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 321 of each

7332times
11317times
31340times
33313times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-02

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£608.4Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£113.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£181.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£135.6K
  • 5 other tiers29%£178.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

298times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

9154times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 31, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 March 2022 — its closest relative in 2,500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2024): 7, 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4352≈ 359 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball928≈ 911 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,572≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,304≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,303≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,192≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,304 winners, 5% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,192£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,303£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,572£10.00
    Match 311,304£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball928£20.00
    Match 4352£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000