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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 28
  4. 35
  5. 37
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,495 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-01-20All recent draws2024-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 28 35 37 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 320 of each

2319times
9295times
28324times
35292times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£482.3Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£77.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£159.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£122.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%£123.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

296times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

8182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,494 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 35, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,494 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4210≈ 325 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball645≈ 826 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,534≈ 8.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 37,711≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,850≈ 34k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,974≈ 41k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,711 winners, 28% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,974£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,850£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,534£10.00
    Match 37,711£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball645£20.00
    Match 4210£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000