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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 27 December 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 17
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 35
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,480 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-12-26All recent draws2023-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 17 25 26 35 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 318 of each

12290times
17297times
25306times
26332times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-27

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.2Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball43%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%£212.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball14%£156.3K
  • 6 other tiers25%£283.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

291times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

8181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,479 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 26, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,479 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2023): 26 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 32 by chance£250
  • Match 4304≈ 414 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,020≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,681≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,939≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball42,446≈ 43k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,094≈ 52k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,939 winners, 20% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,094£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball42,446£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,681£10.00
    Match 310,939£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,020£20.00
    Match 4304£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000