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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 1 December 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 28
  3. 29
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,465 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-11-29All recent draws2023-12-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 28 29 31 35 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 316 of each

2309times
28320times
29332times
31335times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£518.9Kto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£95.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£164.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£121.5K
  • 5 other tiers27%£137.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

285times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

12178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,464 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 28, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,464 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4274≈ 322 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball670≈ 817 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,049≈ 8.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,531≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,903≈ 34k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,513≈ 41k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 670 winners, 18% fewer than the 817 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,513£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,903£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,049£10.00
    Match 39,531£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball670£20.00
    Match 4274£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000