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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 4 November 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 15
  5. 23
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,450 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-11-03All recent draws2023-11-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 8 15 23 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 314 of each

4334times
5311times
8305times
15315times
23

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.2Mto 202k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£209.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£367.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£252.3K
  • 5 other tiers30%£357.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

305times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each

7179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,449 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 5, 8, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,449 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2023): 4 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

55

The numbers add up to 55 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 3.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77≈ 51 by chance£250
  • Match 4787≈ 668 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,998≈ 1.7k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,454≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 320,950≈ 22k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,498≈ 70k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball84,095≈ 84k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,998 winners, 18% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball84,095£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,498£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,454£10.00
    Match 320,950£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,998£20.00
    Match 4787£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000