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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 29 August 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 33
  3. 35
  4. 37
  5. 39
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,411 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-08-26All recent draws2023-08-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 33 35 37 39 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd99th
  • low9th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 309 of each

5305times
33301times
35278times
37285times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-29

  • Lines in play≈ 990kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£414.2Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£76.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£125.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£102.6K
  • 4 other tiers26%£109.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

297times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each

12171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 35, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 March 2023 — its closest relative in 2,410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 21 by chance£250
  • Match 4321≈ 272 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball527≈ 689 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,019≈ 7.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 37,653≈ 9.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,143≈ 28k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,192≈ 34k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈990k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 527 winners, 24% fewer than the 689 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,192£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,143£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,019£10.00
    Match 37,653£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball527£20.00
    Match 4321£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000