LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 18 August 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,405 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-08-16All recent draws2023-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 18 25 27 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 308 of each

7318times
15310times
18329times
25293times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£598.2Kto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£134.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28%£167.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£116.6K
  • 5 other tiers30%£179.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

304times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each

12169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,404 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 15, 18, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 May 2015 — its closest relative in 2,404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2023): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4445≈ 309 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball870≈ 783 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,910≈ 8.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,485≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,503≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,860≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,485 winners, 32% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,860£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,503£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,910£10.00
    Match 313,485£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball870£20.00
    Match 4445£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000