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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 11 July 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 12
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,383 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-07-08All recent draws2023-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 12 21 25 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 305 of each

2301times
4321times
12272times
21317times
25

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£554.3Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£104.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£168.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£118.7K
  • 5 other tiers29%£162.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

289times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

8174times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,382 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 12, 21, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2019 — its closest relative in 2,382 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4370≈ 314 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball867≈ 797 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,023≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,492≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,679≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,553≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 867 winners, 9% more than the 797 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,553£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,679£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,023£10.00
    Match 310,492£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball867£20.00
    Match 4370£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000