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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 1 July 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 26
  3. 32
  4. 37
  5. 39
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,378 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-06-30All recent draws2023-07-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 26 32 37 39 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 305 of each

20305times
26316times
32324times
37279times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£749.6Kto 138k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£131.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£239.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£192.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%£186.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

293times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

12167times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,377 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 32, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,377 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2023): 20, 39 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 39 by chance£250
  • Match 4361≈ 509 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball987≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,417≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,153≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,805≈ 53k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball64,108≈ 64k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 361 winners, 29% fewer than the 509 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball64,108£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,805£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,417£10.00
    Match 313,153£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball987£20.00
    Match 4361£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000