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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 21 June 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 26
  3. 31
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,372 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-06-20All recent draws2023-06-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 26 31 35 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd89th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 304 of each

21316times
26315times
31322times
35269times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£504.5Kto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£91.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£160.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£128.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%£124.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

291times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each

10159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,371 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (26, 31, 35, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2021 — its closest relative in 2,371 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4219≈ 340 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball640≈ 862 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,725≈ 9.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,121≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,049≈ 36k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,775≈ 43k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 640 winners, 26% fewer than the 862 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,775£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,049£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,725£10.00
    Match 39,121£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball640£20.00
    Match 4219£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000