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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 31 May 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 15
  5. 21
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,360 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-05-30All recent draws2023-06-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 13 15 21 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 302 of each

6324times
12269times
13298times
15303times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-31

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£552.6Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£120.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£160.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£108.0K
  • 5 other tiers30%£164.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

314times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each

12163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,359 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 12, 15, 21) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 June 2012 — its closest relative in 2,359 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

67

The numbers add up to 67 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4349≈ 286 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball840≈ 726 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,670≈ 7.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,004≈ 9.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,080≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,993≈ 36k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,004 winners, 27% more than the 9.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,993£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,080£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,670£10.00
    Match 312,004£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball840£20.00
    Match 4349£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000