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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 13 January 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 23
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,281 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-01-11All recent draws2023-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 19 20 23 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 292 of each

2288times
5279times
19302times
20292times
23

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-13

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 130k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball40%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%£235.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball13%£165.7K
  • 6 other tiers28%£352.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

292times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each

7165times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,280 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 19, 20, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 May 2014 — its closest relative in 2,280 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32≈ 34 by chance£250
  • Match 4434≈ 439 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,255≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,981≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,082≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,064≈ 46k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball55,236≈ 55k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,255 winners, 13% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball55,236£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,064£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,981£10.00
    Match 313,082£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,255£20.00
    Match 4434£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000