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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 5 November 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 32
  5. 36
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,242 of 3,064 under them

← 2022-11-04All recent draws2022-11-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 6 32 36 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each

1273times
5270times
6306times
32307times
36

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£912.6Kto 172k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£150.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35%£321.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£232.5K
  • 5 other tiers23%£208.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

266times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each

5162times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,241 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 6, 32, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 December 2016 — its closest relative in 2,241 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2022): 32 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 3.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 47 by chance£250
  • Match 4340≈ 616 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,188≈ 1.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,020≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,811≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,357≈ 65k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball77,501≈ 78k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 340 winners, 45% fewer than the 616 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball77,501£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,357£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,020£10.00
    Match 313,811£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,188£20.00
    Match 4340£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000