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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 26 October 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 29
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,236 of 3,064 under them

← 2022-10-25All recent draws2022-10-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 29 33 38 39 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each

3277times
29305times
33285times
38279times
39

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-26

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£679.4Kto 131k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£105.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£227.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28%£191.9K
  • 5 other tiers23%£154.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

275times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each

7161times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,235 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 38, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 March 2021 — its closest relative in 2,235 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 39 by chance£250
  • Match 4251≈ 508 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball789≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,531≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,845≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,460≈ 53k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,981≈ 64k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 251 winners, 51% fewer than the 508 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,981£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,460£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,531£10.00
    Match 39,845£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball789£20.00
    Match 4251£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000