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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 20 September 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 21
  4. 31
  5. 32
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,215 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-09-17All recent draws2022-09-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 21 31 32 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 284 of each

8274times
12252times
21299times
31300times
32

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-20

  • Lines in play≈ 865kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£410.1Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£90.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£122.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£89.6K
  • 4 other tiers26%£107.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

298times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

14163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 June 2022 — its closest relative in 2,214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 18 by chance£250
  • Match 4298≈ 237 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball570≈ 602 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,213≈ 6.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,041≈ 7.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24,463≈ 25k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29,864≈ 30k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈865k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,041 winners, 16% more than the 7.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29,864£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24,463£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,213£10.00
    Match 39,041£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball570£20.00
    Match 4298£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000