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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 26
  5. 27
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,182 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-22All recent draws2022-07-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 20 23 26 27 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 280 of each

15284times
20280times
23283times
26296times
27

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£934.6Kto 160k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£193.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£288.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£199.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%£253.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

277times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

13176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,181 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 23, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 February 2022 — its closest relative in 2,181 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2022): 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 13 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 3.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball50≈ 41 by chance£250
  • Match 4505≈ 527 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,870≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,368≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,672≈ 55k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,366≈ 66k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,368 winners, 11% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,366£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,672£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,870£10.00
    Match 319,368£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337£20.00
    Match 4505£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball50£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000