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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 11 May 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,140 of 3,064 under them

← 2022-05-10All recent draws2022-05-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 20 22 24 26 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd1th
  • low31th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 274 of each

18297times
20279times
22283times
24289times
26

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£629.4Kto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£122.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£179.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£128.5K
  • 5 other tiers32%£198.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

291times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

13170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,139 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 20, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 May 2022 — its closest relative in 2,139 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2022): 24 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 58≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4412≈ 340 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball837≈ 864 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,286≈ 9.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,266≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,979≈ 36k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,840≈ 43k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,266 winners, 9% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,840£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,979£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,286£10.00
    Match 312,266£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball837£20.00
    Match 4412£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 58£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000