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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 29 January 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 25
  5. 35
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,082 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-01-28All recent draws2022-02-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 11 25 35 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd99th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 267 of each

5248times
7275times
11261times
25243times
35

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-29

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£982.2Kto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£215.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£282.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£203.3K
  • 5 other tiers29%£280.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each

13163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,081 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 11) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 November 2020 — its closest relative in 2,081 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 13 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44≈ 41 by chance£250
  • Match 4666≈ 538 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,491≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,328≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 321,564≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball56,508≈ 56k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball67,778≈ 68k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 666 winners, 24% more than the 538 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball67,778£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball56,508£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,328£10.00
    Match 321,564£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,491£20.00
    Match 4666£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000