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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 20 October 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 21
  3. 32
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,024 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-10-19All recent draws2021-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 21 32 33 38 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

12228times
21272times
32276times
33260times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£607.8Kto 116k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£96.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34%£204.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%£164.0K
  • 5 other tiers23%£142.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

251times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

5145times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,023 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 21, 32, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 November 2012 — its closest relative in 2,023 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2021): 38 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4258≈ 434 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball740≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,353≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,655≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,929≈ 46k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,671≈ 55k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 740 winners, 33% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,671£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,929£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,353£10.00
    Match 39,655£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball740£20.00
    Match 4258£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000