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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 5 October 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 30
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,015 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-10-02All recent draws2021-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 22 27 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 258 of each

14236times
20266times
22265times
27255times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£504.8Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£93.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£160.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£114.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%£137.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

284times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each

8155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,014 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 27, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 November 2020 — its closest relative in 2,014 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2021): 30 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4275≈ 302 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball776≈ 767 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,219≈ 8.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,310≈ 10.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,032≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,037≈ 38k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,310 winners, 7% fewer than the 10.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,037£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,032£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,219£10.00
    Match 39,310£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball776£20.00
    Match 4275£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000