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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 September 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 13
  5. 20
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,008 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-09-21All recent draws2021-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 11 13 20 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd64th
  • low99th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 257 of each

6279times
7263times
11244times
13253times
20

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£706.2Kto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£141.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£215.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£149.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%£200.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

264times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each

8153times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,007 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 13, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 February 2021 — its closest relative in 2,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2021): 13, 20 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

57

The numbers add up to 57 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4438≈ 396 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106≈ 1.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,737≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,102≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,148≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,798≈ 50k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,106 winners, 10% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,798£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,148£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,737£10.00
    Match 314,102£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106£20.00
    Match 4438£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000