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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 4 September 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 28
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 46% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,998 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-09-03All recent draws2021-09-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 14 21 28 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 256 of each

1238times
11243times
14234times
21269times
28

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 152k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball34%£500.0K
  • Match 315%£226.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%£266.0K
  • 6 other tiers33%£493.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

255times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each

14149times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,997 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 21, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,997 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 2.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball83≈ 36 by chance£250
  • Match 4860≈ 468 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,756≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,973≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 322,622≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,195≈ 49k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,936≈ 59k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,756 winners, 48% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,936£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,195£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,973£10.00
    Match 322,622£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,756£20.00
    Match 4860£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball83£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000