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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 16 January 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,866 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-01-15All recent draws2021-01-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 25 28 31 35 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

8228times
25224times
28237times
31255times
35

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£970.0Kto 175k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£179.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£306.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£235.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%£248.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

209times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each

6121times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,865 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 28, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2020 — its closest relative in 1,865 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2021): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35≈ 48 by chance£250
  • Match 4481≈ 623 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,388≈ 1.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,421≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 317,900≈ 21k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,370≈ 65k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball78,437≈ 78k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 481 winners, 23% fewer than the 623 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball78,437£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,370£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,421£10.00
    Match 317,900£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,388£20.00
    Match 4481£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000