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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 July 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,764 of 3,064 under them

← 2020-07-21All recent draws2020-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 20 22 36 38 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

17228times
20243times
22231times
36205times
38

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£581.1Kto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£98.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£190.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£151.5K
  • 4 other tiers24%£140.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

212times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

997times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,763 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 20, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,763 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 31 by chance£250
  • Match 4294≈ 401 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball807≈ 1.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,012≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,843≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,114≈ 42k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball50,486≈ 50k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,843 winners, 26% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball50,486£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,114£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,012£10.00
    Match 39,843£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball807£20.00
    Match 4294£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000