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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 22 May 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 14
  5. 17
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,729 of 3,064 under them

← 2020-05-20All recent draws2020-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 8 14 17 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd9th
  • low99th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

4243times
6241times
8214times
14196times
17

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£589.4Kto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£136.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28%£167.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£110.3K
  • 5 other tiers30%£175.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 123 of each

14126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,728 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 14) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,728 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2020): 8 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

49

The numbers add up to 49 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4396≈ 292 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball994≈ 741 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,637≈ 7.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,600≈ 9.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,499≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,776≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,600 winners, 41% more than the 9.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,776£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,499£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,637£10.00
    Match 313,600£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball994£20.00
    Match 4396£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000