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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 14 December 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 27
  5. 31
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,638 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-12-13All recent draws2019-12-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 19 20 27 31 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 December 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

4229times
19218times
20225times
27213times
31

Prize breakdown · 2019-12-14

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 182k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£230.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£323.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£224.6K
  • 5 other tiers29%£313.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 117 of each

6108times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,637 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 20, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 October 2019 — its closest relative in 1,637 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2019): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball54≈ 46 by chance£250
  • Match 4726≈ 595 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,666≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,402≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 323,024≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,640≈ 62k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,872≈ 75k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 726 winners, 22% more than the 595 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,872£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,640£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,402£10.00
    Match 323,024£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,666£20.00
    Match 4726£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball54£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000