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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 6 September 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 14
  3. 25
  4. 30
  5. 39
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,581 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-09-04All recent draws2019-09-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 14 25 30 39 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

13204times
14173times
25195times
30234times
39

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-06

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£609.0Kto 115k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£97.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34%£208.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£158.8K
  • 4 other tiers24%£144.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

184times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

7103times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,580 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 14, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,580 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 32 by chance£250
  • Match 4264≈ 420 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball875≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,774≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,299≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,604≈ 44k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,941≈ 53k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,299 winners, 33% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,941£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,604£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,774£10.00
    Match 39,299£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball875£20.00
    Match 4264£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000