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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 May 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 34
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,520 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-05-21All recent draws2019-05-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 25 32 34 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

11173times
15199times
25189times
32215times
34

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£601.4Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£124.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£184.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£137.2K
  • 4 other tiers26%£155.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

10106times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,519 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 32, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 April 2019 — its closest relative in 1,519 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4389≈ 363 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball885≈ 922 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,346≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,450≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,839≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,719≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 9,346 winners, 5% fewer than the 9.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,719£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,839£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,346£10.00
    Match 312,450£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball885£20.00
    Match 4389£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000