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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 1 May 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,508 of 3,063 under them

← 2019-04-30All recent draws2019-05-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 23 25 27 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

8181times
14166times
23193times
25187times
27

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£700.1Kto 117k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£151.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£206.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£145.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%£196.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

3129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,507 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 23, 25, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,507 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 36% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4460≈ 386 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,064≈ 979 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,872≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,129≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,264≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,572≈ 49k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,129 winners, 19% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,572£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,264£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,872£10.00
    Match 315,129£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,064£20.00
    Match 4460£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000