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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 20 February 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 31
  5. 37
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,468 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-02-19All recent draws2019-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 25 29 31 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd99th
  • low1th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

23186times
25184times
29194times
31214times
37

Prize breakdown · 2019-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£628.7Kto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£116.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£196.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£146.5K
  • 5 other tiers27%£168.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

164times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

1099times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,467 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (23, 29, 31, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2010 — its closest relative in 1,467 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2019): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4323≈ 388 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball842≈ 985 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,523≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,678≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,364≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,834≈ 49k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 842 winners, 14% fewer than the 985 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,834£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,364£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,523£10.00
    Match 311,678£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball842£20.00
    Match 4323£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000