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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 2 January 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,440 of 3,063 under them

← 2019-01-01All recent draws2019-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 20 21 31 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

5172times
6196times
20200times
21204times
31

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£670.0Kto 112k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£142.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£200.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£135.9K
  • 5 other tiers29%£191.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

208times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

1096times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,439 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 20, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,439 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6, 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4386≈ 360 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball943≈ 913 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,930≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,223≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,090≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,284≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,223 winners, 20% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,284£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,090£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,930£10.00
    Match 314,223£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball943£20.00
    Match 4386£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000