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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Tuesday, 11 December 2018 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2018-12-08 All recent draws 2018-12-12 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 12 14 18 26 34 + 5 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2018-12-11 Lines in play ≈ 1.0M as the winner counts imply Paid out £470.1K to 83k winning lines Won something 1 in 13 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.13 Where the money went
Match 3 18% £82.3K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 32% £149.1K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 23% £108.1K 5 other tiers 28% £130.5K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.13 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
187times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,426 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 1.7 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 27≈ 22 by chance £250
Match 4 247≈ 286 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 738≈ 727 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 7,432≈ 7.8k by chance £10.00
Match 3 8,233≈ 9.4k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 29,811≈ 30k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 36,049≈ 36k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,233 winners, 13% fewer than the 9.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.