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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 21 November 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 39
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,416 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-11-20All recent draws2018-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 22 29 39 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

14152times
20196times
22194times
29185times
39

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£654.6Kto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£119.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£210.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£158.0K
  • 5 other tiers25%£166.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

167times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each

3119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 22, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2018 — its closest relative in 1,415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 32 by chance£250
  • Match 4314≈ 418 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball859≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,298≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,992≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball42,125≈ 44k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,671≈ 53k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 859 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball52,671£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball42,125£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,298£10.00
    Match 311,992£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball859£20.00
    Match 4314£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000