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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 23 October 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 9
  4. 25
  5. 26
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,399 of 3,062 under them

← 2018-10-20All recent draws2018-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 9 25 26 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

1175times
2189times
9165times
25175times
26

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 890kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£427.1Kto 73k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£90.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£128.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£92.2K
  • 5 other tiers27%£116.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

694times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,398 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 9, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,398 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2018): 2 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

63

The numbers add up to 63 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 19 by chance£250
  • Match 4258≈ 244 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball658≈ 619 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,841≈ 6.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,014≈ 8.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,592≈ 26k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,722≈ 31k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈890k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,014 winners, 12% more than the 8.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,722£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,592£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,841£10.00
    Match 39,014£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball658£20.00
    Match 4258£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000