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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 August 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 20
  3. 27
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,364 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-08-21All recent draws2018-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 20 27 30 32 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each

12149times
20185times
27174times
30201times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£686.1Kto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£139.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£208.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£149.4K
  • 5 other tiers27%£188.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

691times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,363 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 30, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 November 2017 — its closest relative in 1,363 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4369≈ 395 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball986≈ 1.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,063≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,946≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,748≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,794≈ 50k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,946 winners, 7% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,794£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,748£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,063£10.00
    Match 313,946£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball986£20.00
    Match 4369£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000