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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 11 August 2018 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2018-08-10 All recent draws 2018-08-14 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 11 22 23 33 36 + 3 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2018-08-11 Lines in play ≈ 2.4M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.1M to 192k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.29 Where the money went
Match 3 20% £220.9K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 31% £339.8K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 22% £246.0K 5 other tiers 27% £297.7K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.29 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
156times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,357 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 3.8 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 52≈ 50 by chance £250
Match 4 682≈ 651 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,665≈ 1.7k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 17,819≈ 18k by chance £10.00
Match 3 22,091≈ 21k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 67,959≈ 68k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 81,989≈ 82k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 682 winners, 5% more than the 651 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.