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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 June 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 21
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 32
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,330 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-06-22All recent draws2018-06-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 21 27 28 32 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 June 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

17175times
21185times
27166times
28171times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-06-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.6Mto 185k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball31%£500.0K
  • Match 315%£238.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%£328.6K
  • 6 other tiers33%£534.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

1393times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,329 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 28, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 February 2012 — its closest relative in 1,329 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 June 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 54 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 3.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball59≈ 46 by chance£250
  • Match 4713≈ 604 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,554≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,433≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 323,849≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,723≈ 63k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball76,062≈ 76k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 23,849 winners, 20% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball76,062£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,723£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,433£10.00
    Match 323,849£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,554£20.00
    Match 4713£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball59£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000