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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 6 March 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,267 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-03-03All recent draws2018-03-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 23 25 28 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 162 of each

8154times
12143times
23165times
25160times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£532.4Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£100.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£162.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£111.1K
  • 5 other tiers30%£158.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 90 of each

777times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,266 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 25, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,266 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4338≈ 294 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball838≈ 747 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,617≈ 8.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,091≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,474≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,031≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 838 winners, 12% more than the 747 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,031£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,474£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,617£10.00
    Match 310,091£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball838£20.00
    Match 4338£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000