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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 12 May 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 18
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 36
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,134 of 3,062 under them

← 2017-05-10All recent draws2017-05-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 18 22 24 36 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

13146times
18157times
22156times
24145times
36

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£538.7Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£108.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£164.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£122.7K
  • 5 other tiers27%£142.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

1081times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,133 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 18, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 July 2016 — its closest relative in 1,133 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4309≈ 325 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757≈ 824 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,478≈ 8.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,851≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,931≈ 34k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,891≈ 41k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 757 winners, 8% fewer than the 824 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,891£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,931£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,478£10.00
    Match 310,851£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757£20.00
    Match 4309£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000