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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 2 March 2016

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 31
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 33% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 947 of 3,062 under them

← 2016-02-27All recent draws2016-03-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 21 22 27 31 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

5116times
21135times
22133times
27119times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 136k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball38%£500.0K
  • Match 314%£188.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%£238.9K
  • 6 other tiers30%£393.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

145times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

1470times

Every number was expected about that many times after 946 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 21, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 October 2015 — its closest relative in 946 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2016): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4594≈ 432 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,270≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,855≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 318,891≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,778≈ 45k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,350≈ 54k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,891 winners, 33% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,350£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball47,778£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,855£10.00
    Match 318,891£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,270£20.00
    Match 4594£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000