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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 21 November 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 27
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 904 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-11-20All recent draws2015-11-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 27 34 35 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

2124times
17121times
27113times
34101times
35

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 278k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.47

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17%£248.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34%£501.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£389.9K
  • 5 other tiers23%£332.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.47 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

757times

Every number was expected about that many times after 903 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 27, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 May 2015 — its closest relative in 903 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 6.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball45≈ 79 by chance£250
  • Match 4599≈ 1.0k by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,110≈ 2.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,829≈ 28k by chance£10.00
  • Match 320,458≈ 34k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball100,384≈ 108k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball129,972≈ 130k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 599 winners, 42% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball129,972£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball100,384£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,829£10.00
    Match 320,458£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,110£20.00
    Match 4599£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball45£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000