LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 24 October 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 892 of 3,064 under them

← 2015-10-23All recent draws2015-10-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 30 33 34 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 114 of each

9111times
15113times
30135times
33107times
34

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.6Mto 203k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball30%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%£362.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball16%£265.9K
  • 6 other tiers31%£517.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

100times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

1363times

Every number was expected about that many times after 891 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 30, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 March 2015 — its closest relative in 891 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 October 2015): 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 4.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38≈ 54 by chance£250
  • Match 4595≈ 704 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,553≈ 1.8k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,847≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 321,868≈ 23k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,474≈ 74k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball88,618≈ 89k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 595 winners, 15% fewer than the 704 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball88,618£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,474£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,847£10.00
    Match 321,868£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,553£20.00
    Match 4595£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000