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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 9 September 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-09-05 All recent draws 2015-09-11 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 2 3 9 13 28 + 14 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-09-09 Lines in play ≈ 1.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £838.4K to 135k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.20 Where the money went
Match 3 24% £202.3K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 27% £229.6K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 19% £163.1K 5 other tiers 29% £243.4K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.20 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
117times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 871 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 4≈ 2.5 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 38≈ 33 by chance £250
Match 4 638≈ 432 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,261≈ 1.1k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 12,489≈ 12k by chance £10.00
Match 3 20,227≈ 14k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 45,920≈ 45k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 54,372≈ 54k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,227 winners, 42% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.