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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 16 May 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-05-15 All recent draws 2015-05-20 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 1 12 14 25 29 + 6 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-05-16 Lines in play ≈ 2.7M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.8M to 222k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.34 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 28% £500.0K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 22% £395.2K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 15% £279.6K 6 other tiers 35% £636.9K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.34 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
108times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 822 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 9≈ 4.4 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 53≈ 57 by chance £250
Match 4 753≈ 740 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,903≈ 1.9k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 20,838≈ 20k by chance £10.00
Match 3 25,690≈ 24k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 79,048≈ 78k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 93,216≈ 93k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 25,690 winners, 5% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.