LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 April 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 812 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-04-18All recent draws2015-04-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 18 35 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each

13103times
15104times
18113times
3580times
38

Prize breakdown · 2015-04-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£822.3Kto 155k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£131.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34%£277.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£217.7K
  • 5 other tiers24%£195.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

100times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

861times

Every number was expected about that many times after 811 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 35, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 December 2014 — its closest relative in 811 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 April 2015): 13 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 3.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 44 by chance£250
  • Match 4382≈ 576 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,094≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,162≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,400≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,470≈ 60k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,571≈ 73k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,400 winners, 35% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,571£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,470£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,162£10.00
    Match 312,400£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,094£20.00
    Match 4382£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000