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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 11 April 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-04-10 All recent draws 2015-04-15 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 2 7 11 18 28 + 11 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-04-11 Lines in play ≈ 2.5M as the winner counts imply Paid out £3.1M to 236k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 3 winners chance said 0.31 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 48% £1.5M Match 3 12% £358.3K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 13% £414.0K 6 other tiers 27% £821.4K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 3≈ 0.31 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
112times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 807 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 13≈ 4.1 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 128≈ 53 by chance £250
Match 4 1,397≈ 692 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 3,179≈ 1.8k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 25,985≈ 19k by chance £10.00
Match 3 35,826≈ 23k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 82,795≈ 73k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 87,103≈ 87k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,397 winners, 102% more than the 692 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.