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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 14 March 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 37
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 796 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-03-13All recent draws2015-03-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 17 19 37 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

2109times
589times
17107times
19110times
37

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 228k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£248.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£410.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£291.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£361.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

1163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 795 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 5, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2013 — its closest relative in 795 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 4.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball56≈ 59 by chance£250
  • Match 4736≈ 772 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,958≈ 2.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,471≈ 21k by chance£10.00
  • Match 324,886≈ 25k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,041≈ 81k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball97,153≈ 97k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 736 winners, 5% fewer than the 772 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball97,153£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,041£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,471£10.00
    Match 324,886£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,958£20.00
    Match 4736£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball56£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000