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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 11 March 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-03-07 All recent draws 2015-03-13 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 3 18 23 25 30 + 6 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-03-11 Lines in play ≈ 1.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.3M to 140k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.20 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 37% £500.0K Match 3 14% £191.7K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 18% £246.2K 6 other tiers 30% £405.0K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.20 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
120times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 793 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 2.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 42≈ 34 by chance £250
Match 4 583≈ 446 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,346≈ 1.1k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 13,564≈ 12k by chance £10.00
Match 3 19,167≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 49,239≈ 47k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 56,201≈ 56k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,167 winners, 30% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.